Site Contents

Main Index

Latest Information, Events and Updates
What's happening in my world – events, publications and other updates to my work. If you specifically want my future events guide, click here

Contact and Background Information
Information on how to get in touch, a little on my background and past experience, and other admin-related stuff for the web site.

Articles and Papers Index
A directory of selected short articles, papers and presentations that I have written for various organisations over the last few years.

The Big Issue – Ecological Futures
If there is one term that describes my whole body of work then it would be "ecological futures" – here I explain a little of what that means.

Energy Beyond Oil
Published in 2005, this was my first book, and reputedly one of the first books on peak oil and energy futures that specifically looked at Britain.

Training, Workshops & Lectures Index
A guide to my present work, and the various services that I provide.

Ecolonomics
Paul Mobbs' irregular essay collection, examining some of the more problematic issues thrown up by his work as a consultant and author.

Work Archive Index
A collection of the most significant elements of my past work, spanning a period from the early 1990s until the present day.


For details of my various activities with the Free Range Network goto the Free Range Activism Website (FRAW).

Paul Mobbs in action! -- Jamaica, April 2003

For details of my forthcoming/recent lectures, publications and other events see the Information, Events and Updates page.


This page contains details of my articles and other papers/reports since 2005 – for my earlier work goto the Work Archive.

Note that, since 2009, I've begun an occasional blog entitled Ecolonomics – you'll find a number of recent essays on various subjects there.



Recent articles/papers:

» Jam Tomorrow: Unconventional Gas and Britain's Energy Future
A new presentation/discussion on shale gas/coalbed methane, gas "fracking", and the future of Britain's energy economy – developed by Paul Mobbs and the Free Range Network

» "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?", March 31st 2011
This week my critique of George Monbiot's pro-nuclear arguments has been released – you'll find it in the Ecolonomics newsletter section.

» Global Information Society Watch 2010
Information related to my contribution to Global Information Society Watch 2010, due to be published by APC in December 2010.

Hacking the Truth: The Curious Case of Yes2wind
Free Range News and Alerts Network, 22nd June 2010

» The Simple Future Beyond Oil
An article for the Banbury and Evesham Quakers Adderbury Gathering, January 2010

» Face up to natural limits, or face a 70s-style crisis
The Ecologist, January 2010

» Peak Oil, the Decline of the North Sea and Britain's Energy Future
A presentation to the All Party Parliamentary Group on Peak Oil, Tuesday 24th November 2009

» Uranium Supply and the Nuclear Option
Published in Oxford Energy Forum, the quarterly journal of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, Issue 61, May 2005.

» Turning the World Upside Down
Published in an edited form in The World Today, the journal of the Royal Institute for International Affairs (Chatham House), vol.60 no.12, December 2004.




Ecolonomics no.13: 'Global gas prices graph' "Jam Tomorrow": Unconventional Gas and Britain's Energy Future
Paul Mobbs/Free Range Network, November 2011

As plans for the development of shale gas and coalbed methane in the UK are advanced (along with underground gasification, they're collectively called "unconventional gas"), the debate on our energy future is seemingly reduced to a single factor; carbon. In fact the complexities of how we source our energy today, and how – and how much – we will be able to produce in the future are far more complex than the issue of carbon emissions. Irrespective of whether we're looking at renewable energy, shale gas or nuclear power, the groups that promote their alternatives to present energy policy all argue that we can be secure in our present lifestyles and economic well-being if we adopt them today. Is this a reality, or is it, as in Lewis Carroll's Alice in Through the Looking Glass, a case of "Jam tomorrow" – the rosy future that these protagonists promote with their energy technologies will never really arrive.

For information related to this work see:

Local HTML fileFree Range 'Energy Beyond Oil' Project: 'Jam Tomorrow' – Unconventional Gas and Britain's Energy Future
The introductory page of the Free Range 'Energy Beyond Oil' Project's new 'Jam Tomorrow' initiative – a research project that seeks to investigate the unconventional gas issue in the UK and develop information and resources for local communities to use in response to local development proposals.
Local PDF fileEcolonomics No.13: 'Hype, hearsay and hyperbolæ – shale gas and the UK energy economy'   (1,206 kilobyte HTML file)
An Ecolonomics post which covers some of the background to my recent work on unconventional gas. Whilst out for a relaxing walk, I find that instead my mind fixes on the issue as to whether shale gas is a "game changer", or whether that's just wishful thinking by American politicians and the self-interest of the energy industry.
Local HTML index fileFree Range Sheet E11: Fracking and Coalbed Methane – Unconventional gas in the UK
When gas fracking and other "unconventional" energy resources are discussed in the media the focus is usually on the technology used to produced the energy, or the impact this might have on the environment. In fact, the significant feature of the exploitation of unconventional energy resources is that our present energy situation has become so precarious that companies and government consider these valid energy sources, and the public interest demands that this aspect of the problem be examined.
Local HTML index fileFree Range Workshops: The Jam Tomorrow Discussion/Presentation
This is the on-line information page for the 'Jam Tommorrow' discussion/presentation event that I'll be travelling the UK with during late 2011 and 2012. The 'virtual' version of the presentation will hopefully be on-line by January 2012.

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GISW 2010 cover image Global Information Society Watch 2010
Association for Progressive Communications/Hivos, December 2010

One of my significant commissions this year was writing the thematic introduction for the Association for Progresive Communication and the Humanist Institute for Development Cooperation annual report, Global Information Society Watch. The theme of this year's report was, "Focus on ICTs and environmental sustainability" – and with my research this year concentrating on the ecological impacts of electronics and technology the editors welcomed my input. You can download the large file from the GISW web site, or just the sections that I wrote, below:

Local PDF fileGISW 2010: Introduction   (48 kilobyte PDF file)
My introduction to GISW 2010, examining the lifecycle of information and communication technologies (ICTs). "To understand the sustainability of ICTs we must look at the life cycle of the devices themselves, from the sources of raw materials, through production, use, and finally disposal. The ever greater use of ICTs is taking place within a finite environmental system, and that system, like the human system in general, has limits."
Local PDF fileGISW 2010: UK Country Report   (276 kilobyte PDF file)
My report on the ecological trends related to the use of ICTs in the UK. This covers various themes, especially the impacts of new communication and entertainment techologies and the digital switchover, and the continuing problems of managing electronic waste (e-waste).
Offsite PDF fileGISW 2010: Full Report   (5.4 megabyte PDF file)
The full report covering different aspects of ICTs and the environment, and with national reports on related themes from countries all around the globe.
Offsite PDF fileThe Global Information Society Watch web site
Get additional information about GISW 2010, and view the previous years reports.


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Adderbury Meeting House The Simple Future Beyond Oil
An article for the Banbury and Evesham Quakers Adderbury Gathering, June 2010

Local PDF file An article to accompany my presentation on Britain's energy future. It explores the contrast between 'tradition' and 'change' and, using the Adderbury Quaker Meeting House (built in 1675! – see picture on right) as an example, how our perceptions of change or permanence affect how we may view energy, economic growth and consumption.


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FRNAN dodgy wind icon Face up to natural limits, or face a 70s-style crisis
The Ecologist, January 2010

Local PDF file Local HTML file This the original/unedited and referenced text (for a copy of the published Ecologist article, click here) of my 'Comment' article that outlines the parameters that will define our energy future. Recent gas shortages may have made politicians focus on energy security once more, but the deeper systemic problems of Britain's energy economy go far deeper than the limited capacity of our gas importation system. Energy represents far more to the economy than just a fuel source; understanding the biophysical limits on our future use of energy, and how this affects the general economy, is essential if we are to create a strategic vision that can address the ecological crises of the Twenty-First Century.


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APPGOPO presentation main chart Peak Oil, the Decline of the North Sea and Britain's Energy Future
A presentation to the All Party Parliamentary Group on Peak Oil, Tuesday 24th November 2009

This is the paper, slides and background data that I produced as part of a special presentation for the All Party Parliamentary Group on Peak Oil. The central message of the presentation is that Britain – irrespective of the ramifications of the global issue of peak energy – faces a series of problematic choices in order to re-negotiate our lifestyle within the biophysical limits that will assert themselves over the next few decades. These problems cannot be avoided, and they are complex because they affect so many aspects of our economic, social and material well-being today. For that reason they are innately political, and thus require the political parties of Britain to engage with these issues in order to map out a means of dealing with the crises these changes will generate.

You can download:

Local PDF fileThe presentation handout – coloured graphs   (1.6 megabyte PDF file)
Local PDF fileThe presentation handout – shaded graphs (for photocopying)   (2.3 megabyte PDF file)
Local PDF fileThe slides from the presentation   (390 kilobyte PDF file)
Local PDF fileTables of background statistical information   (331 kilobyte PDF file)
Offsite index fileThe APPGOPO web site



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FRNAN climate icon 1 Uranium Supply and the Nuclear Option
Published in Oxford Energy Forum, the quarterly journal of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, Issue 61, May 2005.

On-site HTML file icon On-site PDF file icon A short paper on the global availability – past, present and future – of uranium, and the critical limitation that the likely future shortage of uranium represents to the much trumpeted "nuclear renaissance".


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FRNAN peak icon Turning the World Upside Down
Published in an edited form in The World Today, the journal of the Royal Institute for International Affairs (Chatham House), vol.60 no.12, December 2004.

On-site HTML file icon On-site PDF file icon An article I wrote for Chatham House, to which they added the snappy introduction, "Could you live with the same amount of energy now available to those in the third world? A dramatic change such as this is likely within fifty years as present energy sources are used up. So future generations will have to manage with just a third of the energy we use now."

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